Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 29 2024
000
WTNT25 KNHC 291435
TCMAT5
HURRICANE ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102024
1500 UTC SUN SEP 29 2024
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.2N 35.6W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT……. 0NE 40SE 40SW 0NW.
50 KT……. 50NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT…….180NE 150SE 120SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 480SE 360SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.2N 35.6W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 42.9N 36.2W
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 44.0N 33.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT…GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT… 45NE 50SE 50SW 45NW.
34 KT…140NE 120SE 120SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 45.1N 30.3W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT…GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT…120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 46.6N 26.8W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT…120NE 80SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 48.5N 25.0W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT…170NE 30SE 30SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 50.6N 24.3W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT…200NE 70SE 20SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 52.8N 23.1W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT…190NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 57.1N 18.6W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT…100NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 61.2N 14.2W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT…190NE 105SE 0SW 0NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 43.2N 35.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER MAHONEY/PAPIN
